COVID and the housing market

I have zero sympathy for business people and speculators who purchased cottage property(ies) during the peak covid craziness a few years ago.

We had several cottages on our lake sell for crazy prices and they immediately went on the rental market. Most of these places went on the market about 2 years later when interest rates spiked and and were listed at the purchase price or slightly higher. LOL. Needless to say, they just sat there for unsold while owners who could no long afford to carry a cash negative rental cottage slowly came to the realization that the market had changed.

In one example purchase price was $1.6M, originally listed for $1.7M, sold for $1.3M. With real estate commission this is a loss of about of $400K.

IMO, given the state of the economy, trade discussions, reduction of discretionary purchases, general uncertainty etc..... we probably have not seen the bottom of cottage prices. If it was me I'd get the place assessed and sit down with an accountant to determine the capital gains taxes you have to pay now. Who knows where capital gains taxes are going to go in the future. The inclusion rate is unchanged at 50%, but this might change for the worse in a future where a government are looking for more revenue. It might make sense to sell now vs. waiting for further price drops.
 
The ad says listed for seven months and there are or used to be agents that advertised they'd buy your house. That might be subject to you buying a new one through them. They are also going to pay well below market value and still take the commission.
And when I have seen those follow through, they seem to be almost exclusively assignment sales. I promise to buy your house, you accept, clause gets triggered, I sign an assignment contract with you for 900k, I sell your house to a random for 1M. Sure your house sold, I even bought it as advertised if you are willing to stretch the definition but you got hammered and I made $150k.
 
Seeing more of these around popping up on my feed and Reddit...wonder how real they are...

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I heard the other day an extended family member has been trying to sell her approx 2 year old townhouse in Paris for 6 or 7 months now....her fiance is also trying to sell his condo in downtown Hamilton for the same amount of time as their plan was to sell both and buy 1 for them both to live...crickets. The guys brother is also a pretty well known name realtor in Hamilton/Burlington Oakville area who usually prices properties pretty high so I'm sure they've had a bunch of price drops by now.
 
I heard the other day an extended family member has been trying to sell her approx 2 year old townhouse in Paris for 6 or 7 months now....her fiance is also trying to sell his condo in downtown Hamilton for the same amount of time as their plan was to sell both and buy 1 for them both to live...crickets. The guys brother is also a pretty well known name realtor in Hamilton/Burlington Oakville area who usually prices properties pretty high so I'm sure they've had a bunch of price drops by now.
In our neighbourhood we've had....4 properties for sale for an extended period...with minimal price drops for any of them (if at all).

One house (flipper) has been on the market for over 1.5 years.
Another house - 2 years (2.3M -> 1.7M over the 2 years once they saw our friends list a similar place 3 doors over for 300k less)
Third house - market for 6-8 months
Fourth house - market for 8+ months
 
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