Agreed. People (in general) will spend whatever they can get their hands on and are generally nearsighted - I.e. buying decision is based on payment schedule rather than asset price. This is never going to change and gets worse as modern civilizations progress.
The truth about our RE market lies in the
affordability of monthly payments. Here’s a mini study of factual info I have pulled from stats Canada, and CIBC’s historical lending rates -
http://www.fin.gov.bc.ca/PT/bcm/ref/cibcHistoricalPrime.pdf
Assumptions: Average monthly payment is calculated using a Conventional mortgage-5-year at 2% higher than the BOC prime rate to keep consistency.
Year:
1960
Average house price: $150k
Mortgage Interest Rate: 7.5% (BOC – 5.5%)
Avg. monthly payment: $1,097
Year:
1974 (around the peak followed by period of tapering off of 10-15%)
Average house price: $260k
Mortgage Interest Rate: 11.75% (BOC – 9.75%)
Avg. monthly payment: $2,638
Year:
1989 (around the peak followed by a quick crash of around 35%)
Average house price: $450k
Mortgage Interest Rate: 15.5%(BOC – 13.5%)
Avg. monthly payment: $5,771
Year:
2015
Average house price: $622k
Mortgage Interest Rate: 4.7% (BOC – 2.7%)
Avg. monthly payment: $3,512
We are still a ways off from this supposed crash, but when it comes, it will be swift and harsh IMO; but that won't happen until there is a breakdown across multiple asset classes.
Lamborghini Countaches that were selling for 100K 6 years ago are now close to 600K. Same story with 80's porsches and anything with limited production... Art etc.
Scary times indeed, but no different than history which always repeats itself.
Edit: Maybe someone can pull the average household income stats for the above dates.